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CAI Hongbo
  C.V.   

CAI Hongbo  Ph.D. of Economics, Professor
Native Place: Kaifeng Henan, P.R.China
Department of International Economics and Trade/ Research Center for Free Trade Area, Beijing Normal University
Beijing 100875, China
Tel: 010-5880
7763; Fax: 010-5880 1867
Email: hongbocai@bnu.edu.cn
Education
2004.9-2009.6 Xiamen University   Ph.D. in Economics
2008.9-2009.3

2000.9-2004.7
Australian National University, Research School of Economics at College of Business and Economics, Visiting PhD Student, Co-Supervisor: Martin Richardson
Fuzhou University   B.S.   in Economics, minor Information and Computing Science?
Work Experience
2018.9- Professor of Business School, Beijing Normal University

2013.12-12.14.12

 

2010.10-

2009.8-2018.8

Stanford University, Stanford Center of International Development, Visiting Researcher, Co-Professor: Nicholas Hope

University of Macerate, College of Law, Visiting Researcher, Co-Professor: Francesca Spigarelli

Assistant Professor, Associate Professor, Business School, Beijing Normal University

Research Interests
International Trade
Labour Economics
Environmental Economics
Courses Taught

1) International Economics, for postgraduate.

2) International Service Trade, for undergraduate, MOOC, Bilingual https://imooc.gaoxiaobang.com/#/courses/ Detail/25585.

3) International trade, for undergraduate.

4) Energy, environment and economic policies, for undergraduate freshmen.

5) Topics on emerging market economies, for WEC international master, in English.

6) Global new order and international business, for WEC international master, in English.

7) International Trade and International Finance, for MBA.

8) International Trade System and Rules, for Master of International Business.

Professional Societies/Activities
Anonymous reviewers
Economic Modelling, Frontiers of Economics in China
The Journal of World Economy (in chinese)
The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics (in chinese)
China Economic Quarterly (in chinese)
Journal of Management Sciences in China etc.
Social Service/Work
-Adjunct Professor of Zhengzhou University of Aeronautics
-Research fellow at Institute in Economics on Human Development at Beijing Normal University
-Deputy Secretary of “Free Trade Zone – Chinese Firms Going Abroad 50 Forums”
Research Projects

-Global Energy Trade Network: Model construction and application based on complex systems, Beijing Normal University inter-discipline platform, RMB 2,000,000, 2016.7-2020.7.

-The democratic governance of villages and the transformation of China's processing trade, the China National Natural Science Foundation, 71773007, RMB 480,000, 2018.1-2021.12.

-Heterogeneous enterprise exports, labor skills improvement and wage income inequality, China National Natural Science Foundation, 71204024, RMB 220,000, 2015.1-2017.12.

-Regional carbon trading mode selection and its economic effects, China National Social Science Foundation, 11CJY037, RMB 150,000, 2011.7-2013.11.

-Foreign investment and wage gap in service industry, Chinese Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Research Planning Fund, 14YJA790001, RMB 100,000, 2014.10-2016.12.

-Research on the Survivability of Beijing Entrepreneurial Enterprises under the Background of Building Science and Technology Innovation Center, Beijing Social Science Fund General Project, 17YJB020, RMB 80,000, 2011.9-2019.12.

-The impact of "separation of occupation and residence" on Beijing's economic and social development and countermeasures, Beijing Social Science Foundation, 13JGC059, RMB 30,000, 2013.9-2016.3.

-The development of Beijing's productive service trade and the improvement of the international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry, the Beijing Social Science Federation's Youth Social Science Talents Project, 2014SKL013, RMB 40,000, 2014.10-2015.10.

-The entry point and implementation path of Beijing in service for "One Belt, One Road", Beijing Municipal Party Committee outstanding youth project, RMB 75,000, 2015.11-2018.11.

-The study on the path and countermeasures of expanding the scale of international students in Beijing under the background of world city, Beijing Education Science Planning Key Project, ADA12057, RMB 50,000, 2012.11-2018.11.

-The conversion and distribution of carbon emission allowance cap, the National Statistics Bureau key project, 2011LZ001, RMB 20,000, 2011.11-2013.12.

-The impact of the Chinese immigrant network on the export of Chinese enterprises, the Chinese Federation of Returned Overseas Chinese, 15BZQK231, RMB 20,000, 2015.10-2017.10.

-The quantitative analysis of the relationship between fiscal policy and economic growth, the key project of the Ministry of Finance budget center, RMB 150,000, 2016.9-2017.10.

-Research on copyright protection in the field of publishing and media, Shanghai Research Institute for Publishing and Media, SAYB1401, RMB 20,000, 2014.10-2017.6.

-Service Trade Research, Shanghai Knowledge Service Platform, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, RMB 150,000, 2015.9-2016.9.

-Urbanization and service industry agglomeration: from the perspective of new economic geography, the central university's basic research fund, RMB 80,000, 2015.6-2017.6.

-Research on the design and operation mechanism of the carbon trading market in key emission industries, the central university's basic research fund, RMB 50,000, 2010.3-2012.3.

-Refining Policy and Payment Approaches for Ecosystem Services from Scarce Land and Water Seed Funding, University of South Australia, AU$20,000, 2017.6-2018.12.

-"International Service Trade", massive online open course project of Beijing Normal University, RMB 150,000, 2016.11-2018.3.

-"International Service Trade" (Bilingual) Moocs Platform Optimization, Beijing Normal University, RMB 80,000, 2011.5-2019.4.

-"Business English", the full-English taught curriculum project of the Graduate School of Beijing Normal University, RMB 10,000, 2013.12-2014.12.

-The computable model of personality psychology and individual economic decision-making, Beijing Normal University Interdisciplinary Salon for Liberal Arts, RMB 20,000, 2011.6-2013.6.

Honors and Awards
  • 2010 Beijing Normal UniversityFirst prize of Twelfth Young teachers’ Teaching Basic Skills competition
  • 2010 Beijing Normal University  Best syll Award of Twelfth Young teachers’ Teaching Basic Skills competition
  • 2011 Beijing Normal University  Outstanding Staff Award of Business School
  • 2012 Beijing Normal University  Outstanding Staff Award of Business School
  • 2012 Beijing Normal University  Li Yun Scholarship Fund,First prize of the Eleventh Outstanding Young Teachers Competition
  • 2013 Beijing Normal University  First prize of “Excellent People of BNU”
  • 2013 Beijing Normal University  Excellent class teacher of BNU in 2012
  • 2015 Beijing Normal University  Outstanding Award of the quality of the postgraduate courses from 2013 to 2014 in International Economics
  • 2018 T.K.Ann International Trade Award, the highest award in China's International Trade Scholars
Publications

Main Journal Articles:

2018

吴宗柠、吕俊宇、蔡宏波、樊瑛,双曲空间下国际贸易网络建模与分析——以小麦国际贸易为例,《复杂系统与复杂性科学》,2018,(1):31-37。

蔡宏波、秦培文、仲鑫,物理经济学理论与方法研究新进展,《经济学动态》,2018,(1):116-124。

蔡宏波、成莉娜、许焜炜,非经济因素对中韩经贸关系的影响,《国际经济合作》,2018,(6):25-29。

文雷、蔡宏波、吴宗柠、樊瑛,国际贸易网络:增加值贸易和总贸易的比较,《国际商务研究》,2018,(5):49-58。

蔡宏波、徐美云,中美贸易对中国就业的影响有多大,《世界知识》,2018,(21):58-59。

Zheng F, Jiao H, Cai H(通讯作者), Reappraisal of outbound open innovation under the policy of China’s ‘Market for Technology’, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 2018, 30(1): 1-14.

Zia Ur Rahman, Manzoor Ahmad, Umar Sultan, Cai Hongbo, The Determinants of Exports between Pakistan and its Major Trading Partners: Applying the Gravity Model Approach, Global and Local Economic Review, 2018, 22(1): 1-22.

 

2017

蔡宏波、杨康、江小敏,行业垄断、行业集聚与服务业工资——基于299个四位数细分行业的检验,《统计研究》,2017,(2):67-78。

蔡宏波、李明洲,少数民族家庭消费结构与特征——基于中国社会状况综合调查的分析,《民族研究》,2017,(2):44-54+124。

蔡宏波、宋佳倩,“一带一路”与中国对外服务贸易发展,《海外投资与出口信贷》,2017,(2):22-25。

刘杨、蔡宏波,契约环境与服务业集聚——基于中国服务业企业数据的分析,《经济学动态》,2017,(5):78-88。

王梓麒、蔡宏波,“一带一路”背景下国际能源合作分析,《国际经济合作》,2017,(5):36-38。

李宏兵、蔡宏波、徐慧慧,外资进入、服务业集聚与企业工资差距——基于调节机制和微观企业数据的实证研究,《国际贸易问题》,2017,(7):119-130。

蔡宏波、赵超越,从“五百强”到“债转股”——中钢集团战略转型的成败,中国管理案例中心(STR-0703),2017,(11)。

Zia Ur Rahman, Tariq Aziz, Cai Hongbo, Liu Jianwe, Zhennai Yang, The implications and Geo-Strategic Dimension of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and its Consequences and Benefits Overall, European Academic Research, 2017, (12): 10134-10151.

Irfan Ahmad Khan, Mazhar Mughal, Junaid Ahmed, Hongbo Cai, Home and Host country determinants of financial investment flows to Pakistan, Economics Bulletin, 2017, 37(1): 361-376.

 

2016

朱悠然、蔡宏波,全球自贸区发展与中国自贸区建设,《国际经济合作》,2016,(1):38-41。

蒙英华、蔡宏波,沪津闽粤自贸试验区对文化贸易的管理措施差异比较,《国际贸易》,2016,(3):61-66。

蔡宏波、钱叶粲、李爱军,外资企业对内资企业的工资溢出效应——基于中国长三角地区的理论和实证分析,《国际贸易问题》,2016,(5):3-15。人大复印报刊资料全文转载,《劳动经济与劳动关系》,2016年09期。

蔡宏波、刘志颖,出口贸易对我国民族地区与非民族地区之间收入差距的影响研究,《民族研究》,2016,(3):29-40+124。

李宏兵、蔡宏波(通讯作者)、胡翔斌,融资约束如何影响中国企业的出口持续时间,《统计研究》,2016,(6):30-41。

蔡宏波、刘志颖、张湘君,北京留学生规模的影响因素分析及对策研究,《国际经济合作》,2016,(6):88-95。

曲如晓、李世恒、蔡宏波,中国城镇工资水平民族差异的实证分析,《中央民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》,2016,(5):46-55。

赵春明、李宏兵、蔡宏波、王永进,出口内生型市场邻近、空间外部性与城镇工薪差距,《世界经济》,2016,(12):47-71。

蔡宏波、扈爽、赵田园,WTO成员方会利用最惠国待遇条款“搭便车”吗——基于中国参与多边贸易谈判的实证研究,《国际贸易问题》,2016,(12):64-73。

Hongbo Cai, Yuanyuan Song, The state’s position in international agricultural commodity trade: A complex network, China Agricultural Economic Review, 2016, (3): 430-442.

Hongbo Cai, Eleonora Cutrini, International Integration and Uneven Development: An Enquiry into the Spatial Distribution of Foreign Firms in China, in Francesca Spigarelli , Louise Curran, Alessia Arteconi (ed.), China and Europe’s Partnership for a More Sustainable World, 2016, 39-57.

 

2015

蔡宏波、刘杜若、张明志,外商直接投资与服务业工资差距——基于中国城镇个人与行业匹配数据的实证分析,《南开经济研究》,2015,(4):109-120。

蒙英华、蔡宏波(通讯作者)、黄建忠,移民网络对中国企业出口绩效的影响研究,《管理世界》,2015,(10):54-64。

曲亮、蔡宏波、任国良、薛津津,财政分权与中国区域碳减排效率实证研究《经济地理》,2015,(5):160-165。

李宝元、仇勇、蔡宏波,明清晋徽商帮组织劳动关系特性及借鉴意义,《北京社会科学》,2015,(11):31-37。

文磊、蔡宏波、李宏兵,融资约束抑制了企业员工收入增长吗——基于中国工业企业数据的实证分析,《国际贸易问题》,2015,(10):165-176。

蔡宏波、戴俊怡、李宏兵,市场潜能与国内市场分割——基于中国省市数据的实证研究,《产业经济研究》,2015,(5):83-92。

Hongbo Cai, Pengfei Wang, Why is Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank So Attractive, China’s Foreign Trade, 2015, (3): 12-14.

 

2014

李宏兵、蔡宏波(通讯作者)、王永进,市场潜能加剧了性别工资不平等吗,《数量经济技术经济研究》,2014,(1):22-41。人大复印报刊资料全文转载,《统计与精算》,2014年02期。

刘玉龙、任国良、蔡宏波,“螺旋式”“双重”分权模式下的产业结构升级研究,《中国社会科学院研究生院学报》,2014,(1):45-52。

陈建青、蔡宏波、李宏兵,中国资本市场制度变迁与股市运行周期研究,《金融经济学研究》,2014,(2):107-118。

蔡宏波、黄书娴,“丝绸之路经济带”带给中国的机遇,《中国对外贸易》,2014,(5):45。

刘杜若、张明志、蔡宏波,贸易开放对我国制造业工人工资的影响研究——来自个体微观调查的证据,《国际贸易问题》,2014,(5):3-12。人大复印报刊资料全文转载,《国际贸易研究》,2014年07期。

李宏兵、赵春明、蔡宏波,外资进入扩大了性别工资差距吗,《统计研究》,2014,(6):57-65。

蔡宏波、周成华、蒙英华,服务进口与工资差距——基于中国服务业企业数据的实证检验,《国际贸易问题》,2014,(11):144-153。

申萌、蔡宏波,能源成本变化对异质性工业行业的影响,《南京大学学报(哲学·人文科学·社会科学)》,2014,(6):27-35。

罗仲伟、任国良、焦豪、蔡宏波、许扬帆,动态能力、技术范式转变与创新战略——基于腾讯微信“整合”与“迭代”微创新的纵向案例分析,《管理世界》,2014,(8):152-168。人大复印报刊资料全文转载,《企业管理研究》,2015年01期。

蔡宏波、胡翔斌、赵春明,服务进口与就业性别歧视——基于中国服务业企业数据的检验,《经济管理》,2014,(12):24-30。

Hongbo Cai, Xin Wang, Zhiqing Zeng, Who will lead Asia-Pacific, China’s Foreign Trade, 2014, (1): 60-61.

Fan Y., Ren S., Cai H., Cui X., The state’s role and position in international trade: a complex network perspective, Economic Modelling, 2014, (39): 71-81.

Sun C., Ouyang X., Cai H., Luo Z., Li A., Household pathway selection of energy consumption during urbanization process in china, Energy Conversion and Management, 2014, (84): 295-304.

 

2013

蔡宏波、蒙英华,国贸专业本科生教育国际化问题研究,《国家教育行政学院学报》,2013,(2):70-74。

蔡宏波、石嘉骐、王伟尧、宋小宁,技术创新、最优碳税与国际减排合作,《国际贸易问题》,2013,(2):81-91。

蔡宏波、任国良,技术差异、非对称管制与电信市场演化,《财经研究》,2013,(4):68-79。

蔡宏波、熊爱宗、李宏兵,基于投入产出表的中国工业行业外包水平再计算,《中国经济问题》,2013,(3):59-67。

李宏兵、蔡宏波,出口开放扩大了技能工资差异吗?——中国城镇住户调查数据的再检验,《经济管理》,2013,(11):13-23。

郑甘澍、蔡宏波、罗彩瑜,中国实现贸易强国的路径探析——基于国家贸易生态位的国际竞争力实证分析,《国际贸易问题》,2013,(11):3-13。

熊爱宗、蔡宏波,新兴市场经济动荡对中国经济的影响与应对,《新兴经济体发展与广东对外经贸合作新机遇——中国新兴经济体研究会2013年会暨新兴经济体合作与发展论坛论文集(下)》,2013,(11):813-819。

任国良、蔡宏波、郭界秀,政府R&D政策评价研究的实证沿革与最新进展——综述与评价,《世界经济文汇》,2013,(6):55-88。

李宏兵、蔡宏波(通讯作者)、王永进,海外市场邻近、空间集聚与工资不平等,《经济研究》(青年论坛),2013,(12):40-52。

Cai H., Yan P., Does new technology always win? Study on diffusion route of new technology and related factors, African Journal of Business Management, 2013, (23): 2284-2292.

Li A, Zhang A, Cai H, et al., How large are the impacts of carbon-motivated border tax adjustments on China and how to mitigate them, Energy Policy, 2013, (63): 927-934.

 

2012

蔡宏波、江铨,金融危机背景下贸易保护政策有效性检验——基于人工神经网络的系统仿真视角,《国际经贸探索》,2012,(1):12-23。

蔡宏波、王俊海,国际大宗商品价格与中国经济波动:基于不同来源油价冲击的经验考察,《国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报)》,2012,(1):54-64。

蔡宏波,网络经济下一定优胜劣汰吗?——基于临界容量与蝴蝶效应的网络经济分析,《产业经济研究》,2012,(3):41-49+94。

蔡宏波,东盟对外FTA战略的有效性:基于商品竞争性与互补性的分析,《会计与经济研究》,2012,(3):67-75。

马建平、蔡宏波、王雪坤,要素密集度、环境属性与中国工业制品出口结构,《经济经纬》,2012,(4):41-45。

蔡宏波、张铭洪、王斌,盗版、反盗版激励与版权市场演化,《经济管理》,2012,(7):12-20。

蔡宏波、张湘君、喻美辞,外包与行业工资差距——基于中国制造业数据的经验分析,《北京师范大学学报(社会科学版)》,2012,(6):109-118。

蔡宏波、陈昊,外包与劳动力结构——基于中国工业行业数据的经验分析,《数量经济技术经济研究》,2012,(12):53-65。

 

2011

蔡宏波,外包与劳动生产率提升——基于中国工业行业数据的再检验,《数量经济技术经济研究》,2011,(1):63-75。

周燕、蔡宏波,中国工业行业全要素生产率增长的决定因素:1996-2007,《北京师范大学学报(社会科学版)》,2011,(1):133-141。

蔡宏波、赵春明、陈昊,“优先购买国货”的经济效应分析,《世界经济》,2011,(7):119-130。人大复印报刊资料全文转载,《国际贸易研究》,2011年10期。《中国社会科学文摘》全文转载,2011年11期。

蔡宏波、杨晗,CEPA框架下内地与香港服务贸易开放评析:2004-2009,《中央财经大学学报》,2011,(9):81-86。

蔡宏波、王俊海,所得税与中国宏观经济波动——基于动态随机一般均衡模型的拓展研究,《经济理论与经济管理》,2011,(11):39-46。

 

2010

蔡宏波,我国自由贸易区的贸易流量效应:基于面板数据的引力模型分析,《国际贸易问题》,2010,(1):25-31。

王斌、蔡宏波,数字内容产业的内涵、界定及其国际比较,《财贸经济》,2010,(2):110-116+137。

蔡宏波、黄建忠,中国自由贸易区战略的有效性:基于商品竞争性与互补性的分析,《商业经济与管理》,2010,(3):41-50+57。

蔡宏波、曲如晓,美国服务贸易的环境效应——以出口为例,《世界经济研究》,2010,(3):48-55+88。

蔡宏波、黄建忠,东盟对外自由贸易区发展现状及态势,《东南亚纵横》,2010,(4):51-57。

周燕、蔡宏波,南北贸易、R&D投入与中国工业行业技术进步,《南京大学学报》,2010,(3):45-54+158。

Pinelopi Goldberg、Amit Khandelwal、Nina Pavcnik、Petia Topalova,蔡宏波、张如芳、石小平(译),新的进口品投入与贸易自由化,《经济资料译丛》,2010,(2):7-12。

蔡宏波、宋小宁、熊爱宗,东亚货币合作的经济基础:基于OCA指数的一体化水平分析,《中央财经大学学报》,2010,(7):22-26。

蔡宏波,区域货币合作的经济基础:东亚和欧洲国家的比较,《世界经济研究》,2010,(7):82-86+89。

赵春明、蔡宏波,“比较优势模型”对国际教育服务贸易的适用性研究——兼论国际教育服务贸易比较优势的决定,《经济经纬》,2010,(6):35-40。

蔡宏波、曲如晓,低碳贸易协定:应对碳减排的贸易政策设计方案,《国际贸易》,2010,(11):44-48。

蔡宏波、蒙英华,多哈回合农业谈判:穷途末路还是柳暗花明——基于目标、模式和进程的分析,《国际经贸探索》,2010,(12):9-15。

 

2009

蒙英华、蔡宏波,福音还是诅咒?——管制政策在服务贸易中的两难,《南开经济研究》,2009,(6):100-111。

 

2008

颜华国、蔡宏波、林舒,东亚货币合作的经济基础——基于Frankel-Rose内生性假说的新检验,《国际贸易问题》,2008,(3):55-59。

蔡宏波、黄建忠,国外自由贸易协定研究新进展,《国际贸易问题》,2008,(7):119-123。

蔡宏波、蒙英华,两岸贸易的非贸易动因:一个多元分析视角,《亚太经济》,2008,(6):109-113。人大复印报刊资料全文转载,《贸易经济》,2009年04期。

 

2007

詹宇超、蔡宏波,养老保险制度改革探微,《财会月刊》,2007,(6):30-31。

蔡宏波,WTO框架下政府战略性补贴政策应用研究,《亚太经济》,2007,(2):100-103。

王斌、蔡宏波,电信市场演化与政府管制——基于随机试验的模型分析,《南开经济研究》,2007,(2):56-72。

赵武、蔡宏波,我国农村劳动力流动现状研究——关于托达罗人口流动模型的理论修正,《郑州航空工业管理学院学报(社会科学版)》,2007,(2):165-168。

蔡宏波,WTO框架下战略性补贴政策的制约因素与因应策略,《世界经济研究》,2007,(5):52-56+87。

蔡宏波,服务业产业内贸易研究:中国和东盟国家的比较,《财贸经济》,2007,(7):95-99。

蔡宏波,中美纺织品与服装贸易:从MFA到ATC——基于总量、价格和质量的分析,《国际贸易问题》,2007,(9):27-31。

王斌、蔡宏波,中国电信服务市场准入管制的随机试验模型分析,《财经研究》,2007,(12):26-37。

 

Media articles:

Fundamentally solving the employment problem brought by the trade war lies in technology, Sohu Finance, 2018-9-11.

Questions and suggestions on the construction of the Free Trade Port for Shanghai Free Trade Zone, Guangming.com, 2018-9-10.

The fate of trade interests and the rise of great powers, Tencent Finance, 2018-4-18.

Suggestions and Thoughts on Planning the Spatial Layout of Zhengzhou Free Trade Zone, The decision-making reference of the Zhengzhou Municipal Committee of Henan Province, 2016-11-21 (Total No. 354).

Comparison of the types of free trade zones, The distribution of scatter-points is better, Ta Kung Pao, 2016-10-4, A14 edition.

Why is the government work report this year not mentioning the foreign trade growth target? Dagong.com, 2016-3-9.

Shanghai Free Trade Zone: What experience to copy and promote? Liaowang Think Tank, 2015-2-9.

China needs to enhance its absolute advantage in education exports, China Trade News, 2011-6-14, 3 edition.

Why do we feel the pain of paying taxes? The Economist Teahouse, 2010-49 (5).
• Books

Books:

Cai Hongbo, 2016.12, Outsourcing and China Labor Market, Beijing Normal University Press.

Cai Hongbo, Meng Yinghua, Zhou Mi, Li Hongbing, 2016.12, Frontier Issues of International Service Trade, Economic Science Press.

Qu Ruxiao, Cai Hongbo, 2016.04, China's Foreign Trade Sustainable Development Report - Climate Change, Economic Science Press.

Cai Hongbo, 2011.09, Bilateral Free Trade Agreement: Theoretical Reconstruction and Empirical Research, China Economy Press.

 

Textbooks:

Cai Hongbo, 2016.09, International Service Trade (3rd Edition), Beijing Normal University Press.

Cai Hongbo, 2013.04, International Service Trade (2nd Edition), Beijing Normal University Press.

Cai Hongbo, 2012.04, International Service Trade (1st Edition), Peking University Press.

Zhao Chunming, Wei Hao, Cai Hongbo, 2013.07, International Trade (3rd Edition), Higher Education Press.