【题  目】Labor Market Transitions over the Business Cycle: Gender Differential in the United States from 2001 to 2020

【时  间】2024年7月3日（星期三），14:00-15:30

【地  点】后主楼1722会议室

【主讲人】许桦楠 副教授（Indiana University South Bend）

【主持人】孔海洋 助理教授（北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院）

内容摘要：Using matched panel data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) from 2001 to 2020, this paper examines the gender differential in monthly labor market transitions across the business cycle in the United States. A Markov transition model is applied to investigate the inflows and outflows of different labor force statuses in response to economic fluctuations. Relative to men, women’s flow into employment rises as the economy worsens, and flow into unemployment and not-in-labor-force falls. Cyclical sensitivity is found to be strongest among women with low educational attainment and substantial childcare responsibilities. Tests for structural change brought about by the Great Recession indicate that women experienced a lower probability of leaving the labor force in the post-2007 period relative to men.

主讲人简介：许桦楠，美国印第安纳大学南本德分校经济学副教授，美国康涅狄格大学经济学博士。主要研究领域包括经济周期中不同人口群体的劳动力市场状态转变，劳动力市场的动态、移民、公共政策和教育，最近的研究重点为 COVID-19 大流行的经济影响。研究成果发表于Journal of Public Economics, Economic Inquiry, Labour Economics, Southern Economic Journal, Applied Economics, Research in Labor Economics, IZA Journal of Development and Migration等学术期刊。