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4月24日经济系Seminar：Temperature Effects on Mortality and Household Adaptation: Evidence from China
发布时间：2018-04-11
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讲座题目：Temperature Effects on Mortality and Household Adaptation: Evidence from China
演讲人：王敏博士
时间：2018年4月24日下午2:00-3:30
地点：后主楼1610
ABSTRACT: This paper examines the effects of extreme temperatures on mortality rates using random year-to-year variation in temperature based on a county-level panel in China. We find a robust U-shaped relationship between temperature and mortality rates, indicating that extreme cold or hot temperature will lead to excess deaths. The effect is two and a half times larger than previous findings that use U.S. data. The effects are especially large for the old, mainly due to excess deaths caused by cardiovascular diseases. We also find evidence that residents living in cold counties are less vulnerable to cold days, but are more vulnerable to hot days than those living in hot counties. We then explore households’ adaptation behaviors to extreme temperatures. Interestingly, we find that, although urban households increase energy consumption when exposed to cold temperatures and purchase more air conditioners both on hot or cold days, both of these consumptions of rural households are unresponsive to temperature fluctuations, implying that rural people may suffer more from extreme temperatures.
演讲人简介：王敏，爱荷华州立大学经济学博士，北京大学国家发展研究院助理教授，《经济学（季刊）》副主编，研究兴趣包括宏观经济学和环境经济学。相关研究已发表在Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Economic Theory, Economics Letters, 《经济研究》，《管理世界》，《世界经济》，《经济学（季刊）》，《中国人口科学》等国内外知名期刊。
（供稿人：刘盼）